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Technical Analysis Center


 
SymbolType5 Minutes15 MinutesHourlyDailyMonthly
GBP/USD
1.3930
Moving Averages:BuyBuyBuyStrong BuyBuy
Indicators:SellNeutralStrong SellStrong BuyStrong Buy
Summary:NeutralNeutralNeutralStrong BuyStrong Buy
 
EUR/USD
1.1914
Moving Averages:Strong SellStrong SellStrong SellStrong SellBuy
Indicators:Strong SellSellStrong SellStrong SellStrong Buy
Summary:Strong SellStrong SellStrong SellStrong SellStrong Buy
 
USD/JPY
108.94
Moving Averages:BuySellSellBuyStrong Buy
Indicators:Strong BuyBuyStrong SellStrong BuyStrong Buy
Summary:Strong BuyNeutralStrong SellStrong BuyStrong Buy
 
FTSE 100
6779.68
Moving Averages:NeutralBuyStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong Buy
Indicators:Strong SellStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyBuy
Summary:SellStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyStrong Buy
 
S&P 500
3915.46
Moving Averages:Strong SellStrong SellSellBuyStrong Buy
Indicators:Strong SellStrong SellStrong SellStrong BuyStrong Buy
Summary:Strong SellStrong SellStrong SellStrong BuyStrong Buy
 
Dow Jones
32862.30
Moving Averages:SellStrong SellNeutralBuyStrong Buy
Indicators:Strong SellStrong SellSellStrong BuyStrong Buy
Summary:Strong SellStrong SellNeutralStrong BuyStrong Buy
 
Gold
1734.60
Moving Averages:Strong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuySellBuy
Indicators:Strong BuyStrong BuyBuyStrong BuySell
Summary:Strong BuyStrong BuyStrong BuyNeutralNeutral
 
Moving Averages:SellSellStrong SellNeutralStrong Buy
Indicators:Strong BuyStrong SellStrong SellStrong SellStrong Buy
Summary:NeutralStrong SellStrong SellSellStrong Buy
 
Moving Averages:Strong SellSellStrong SellStrong SellStrong Sell
Indicators:SellSellStrong SellStrong SellStrong Buy
Summary:Strong SellSellStrong SellStrong SellStrong Sell

Dollar drops let me show you how to make money trading on GOLD and OIL

Fed Statement, Dollar drops, Gold and Bitcoin rally, Oil pares losses

The Fed won’t be changing policy anytime soon despite a very optimistic growth and labor outlook. The FOMC statement and projections solidify the Fed’s dovish commitment is etched in stone. The dot plots still show no rate hikes will remain near zero through 2023. Vaccinations and massive fiscal stimulus are responsible for the notable rise with growth forecasts, but an uneven recovery and with several million Americans still lacking work, the Fed will refrain from any possible tapering hints.

Inflation
Fed Chair Powell noted that these one-time increases in prices are likely to have only transient effects on inflation. The Fed’s inflation forecasts were aggressively revised higher, with Core PCE inflation rising to 2.2% this year, above economists’ forecast of 1.9%. Powell sees an inflation bump as short-lived and in order to prove them wrong, markets will need to see a handful of readings significantly above their target.

Tapering
Powell squashed taper tantrum questions after stating he needs to see actual progress and not forecast progress. No communication mistake today, Powell basically signaled asset purchases are not changing anytime before the end of summer. Even if the US reaches herd immunity by the end of the summer policy remain anchored unless the Fed’s job is done.

SLR
Powell punted the SLR question, which was somewhat expected since Congress is still waiting for some feedback from some banks.

Bonds
The bond market selloff resumed following a dovish FOMC decision and press conference. The 30-year Treasury yield rose 6.4 basis points 2.443% and more importantly rose to fresh session highs after the decision. The 10-year Treasury yield pared early gains and settle little changed at 1.62%. Powell doesn’t see the recent move in Treasuries as disorderly and clearly reminded markets they have plenty of tools to respond to anything that hurts financial conditions. The Fed could first tweak their purchases with more going to Treasuries. Eventually Operation Twist might be used, but that is not on their radar.

Gold
Bullion investors rejoiced a dovish FOMC statement and presser. Gold prices surged as the dollar went into freefall after the Fed remain stubbornly dovish despite significant upgrades to their growth, inflation, and unemployment forecasts.
Easy money is not going away anytime soon and the bottom if firmly in place for gold. Gold prices are entering a new environment where they could start to rally alongside Treasury yields if inflation runs hot.

Oil
Crude prices pared earlier losses after a very dovish Fed policy decision sent the dollar sharply lower. Oil was dragged down by a larger-than-expected build with US stockpiles, but energy traders can’t help be optimistic that crude demand outlook will get significantly better.
Vaccine rollout success in the US is triggering a wave of vacation planning that will be driving a sharp increase in jet fuel and gasoline demand. If the dollar rebound is officially over, crude prices could continue their climb higher.

Bitcoin
Bitcoin is getting its groove back after a dovish sent the dollar sharply lower. The cryptocurrency world also got another two votes of confidence with the Coinbase valuation jumping to $68 billion and after Morgan Stanley signaled they will allow their wealthy clients to own Bitcoin. Bitcoin acceptance seems to only grow and an accommodative Fed until the job is done should keep the world’s largest cryptocurrency strongly supported.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

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